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Howard homers as Phils blank Fish

Baseball Betting Lines

08/06/2008 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ryan Howard homered and doubled, and Kyle Kendrick worked out of several jams to pitch six shutout innings as the Philadelphia Phillies downed the Florida Marlins, 5-0, in the middle matchup of a three-game showdown between the top two teams in the NL East.

Kendrick (10-5) gave up four hits and walked five, but was able to keep the Marlins scoreless through six.

"He had quite a few guys on base. He pitched good enough to get out of it," said Phillies manager Charlie Manuel.

Chad Durbin threw two scoreless frames and Ryan Madson pitched a perfect ninth to nail down the win for the first-place Phillies, who have won eight of 10.

Eric Bruntlett went 2-for-3, knocked in a run and scored for Philadelphia, which pushed its lead over the Marlins in the NL East back to 2 1/2 games. The New York Mets, who lost 4-2 to the Padres on Wednesday, are three games behind the Phillies.

Anibal Sanchez (1-1) was touched for four runs -- three earned -- on five hits in five innings to take the loss. The Marlins left 10 runners on base as they fell for the third time in five games.

The Phillies gave Kendrick some early run support, with Chase Utley doubling in Shane Victorino with one out in the first. Kendrick stranded two Marlins runners in the second, and the Phils added two more runs in the home half.

Geoff Jenkins reached on an error by Sanchez, who then beaned Chris Coste. Bruntlett pulled a double just fair down the line in left, plating Jenkins. Kendrick then helped himself with an RBI groundout for a 3-0 Phillies lead.

The Marlins again put two runners on with two outs in the third, but Kendrick got Dan Uggla to ground out to keep Florida off the board. Howard then led off the third with a homer to left-center, his 32nd of the season, tying Cincinnati's Adam Dunn for the major league-lead.

Working with a 4-0 lead, Kendrick continued to dodge bullets in the fourth. After getting two quick outs he walked the bottom two hitters in the Florida lineup -- John Baker and Sanchez. Hanley Ramirez's infield single loaded the bases, but Jeremy Hermida lined out to short to strand another three runners.

"He's good enough to make pitches that get him out of situations," said Manuel.

Philadelphia pinch-hitter Mike Cervenak picked up his first career hit and RBI with his bouncing single through the drawn-in infield and into left with no outs in the sixth. The single scored Bruntlett, who singled to lead off the inning, for a five-run Philadelphia lead.

The Marlins did not threaten to score against either Durbin or Madson, who did not allow a baserunner except Mike Jacobs, who singled with two outs in the eighth.

Game Notes

The Phillies left 11 runners on base...Utley extended his hitting streak to 11 games...The Marlins activated catcher Matt Treanor from the 15-day disabled list on Wednesday. Treanor, who did not play, has been out of action since July 8 with a strained left hip...Phillies reliever Tom Gordon left Wednesday's rehab assignment for Single-A Clearwater because of pain in his right elbow. He has been sidelined since July 6 with inflammation in the elbow. Gordon is slated to fly back to Philadelphia Thursday for further examination.


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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.